Who Will Win Big Brother 11?

A Recap of the Finalists’ Strategies & Projected Jury Votes

Sep 11, 2009

After an intense summer, Big Brother 11 comes to an end on September 15, when the final houseguest is evicted and the final two face off against the members of the jury.

After a summer of controversy, backstabbing, twists, and turns, it’s down to only three houseguests on CBS’s smash summer hit, Big Brother 11: Natalie Martinez, Kevin Campbell, and Jordan Lloyd. In the show’s season finale on Tuesday, September 15, one of these houseguests will be evicted and become the seventh member of the jury, who will decide the winner of the $500,000 grand prize.

To help determine who the winner will be, here’s a recap of each of the finalists’ strategies as well as a projection of which jurors will vote for which finalist.

The Three Finalists of Big Brother 11

Natalie Martinez, the 24 year-old tae-kwon-do champion from Gilbert, Arizona, has been responsible for some of the biggest lies in Big Brother history. She told the other houseguests she was only 18 and neglected to mention her martial arts background in an effort to appear non-threatening. She also orchestrated a game-changing move when she convinced rival Jeff Schroeder that one of his allies, Russell Kairouz, was plotting against him, which led to Russell being evicted instead of herself.

Most recently, Natalie almost got caught in a lie when she told her housemates that, as part of a new twist called Pandora’s Box, she was ineligible to win the grand prize as a penalty for opening the box. In reality, she had received a proposal from her boyfriend, which she later confessed to the others.

Kevin Campbell, the 29 year-old openly gay graphic designer from Chula Vista, California, stayed in the middle of the pack for most of the game, but towards the end, emerged as a serious challenge threat. And although he’s been a level-headed player overall, he’s shown that he’s not afraid to backstab others in order to get himself to the end. In fact, Kevin has has been directly responsible for the evictions of two of the game’s biggest threats, Jeff Schroeder and neuroscientist Michelle Noonan. He’s also admitted that he would take Jordan Lloyd to the Final Two with him over his long-time ally Natalie Martinez, despite swearing on his life to Natalie that he’d take her.

Jordan Lloyd, the 22 year-old quirky waitress from Matthews, North Carolina, relied on Jeff Schroeder, her boyfriend in the house, to carry her to the end. But it could still be argued that this southern belle overcame the greatest odd to make it to the end, having lost both of her original ‘Popular’ clique-mates in the first two vote-offs. She’s also performed poorly in challenges and only won Head of Household when Jeff threw the competition in her favor. Regardless, she pulled off a critical victory in a competition which will allow her to play in the final HOH competition. If she finds herself in the Final Two, this fan favorite stands a good chance at winning the game due to her popularity with America and the jurors.

Projected Winners

Depending on who is evicted on Tuesday, three possible Final Twos are possible: Natalie vs. Jordan, Natalie vs. Kevin, and Kevin vs. Jordan.

Kevin turned against his ally Natalie at the end; therefore, it is unclear if he would vote for her to win the game. Russell’s vote is also difficult to determine; however, Jordan should be guaranteed at least four votes in this Final Two scenario.

It is difficult to pinpoint who Michelle, Jeff, and Jordan would vote for in this scenario; however, it likely that they would respect Kevin’s gameplay more than Natalie’s and vote for him to win the game.

Natalie would be the deciding vote in this scenario. Her vote would probably depend on whether Kevin or Jordan won the final HOH competition. If Kevin betrays Natalie, then she may vote for Jordan out of spite.

When to Watch

Big Brother 11 will wind down with a reflection on the season's most unforgettable moments airing on Sunday, September 13 at 8 p.m. EST. The winner will then be crowned with a special two-hour finale on Tuesday, September 15 at 9 p.m. EST. For more information, see the show’s official Web site at CBS.com.

Who do you think will win the final HOH Competition? Who will be the Final 2, and who will be the winner of Big Brother 11?

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